Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Eintracht Frankfurt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,291 vs 2,119).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 11-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 1-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-2 | Emirates Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Borussia Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia Dortmund | DFB Pokal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th in Bundesliga (44 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (73 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 34 | 73 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 65 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
- Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund played?
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Deutsche Bank Park, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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