Match

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main

Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Eintracht Frankfurt. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (2,291 vs 2,119).

Eintracht Frankfurt win34 %
Draw24 %
Borussia Dortmund win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eintracht Frankfurt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026SC St. Tönis(away)11-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Brentford(away)0-7Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Hull City(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026AS Roma(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026Arsenal(away)3-2Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026FC Tokyo(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Borussia Dortmund win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Jan 9, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 3-3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Oct 28, 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Borussia DortmundDFB Pokal
Jan 17, 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
Aug 24, 2024Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Mar 17, 2024Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt on May 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Eintracht Frankfurt3.11.7410/1512/15
Borussia Dortmund1.71.248/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th in Bundesliga (44 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (73 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Borussia Dortmund342275703473
8Eintracht Frankfurt34111112616544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund played?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Deutsche Bank Park, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund

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