Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,031) and FC Augsburg (2,070).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aris(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Berlin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Jan 15, 2026 | FC Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| May 17, 2025 | FC Augsburg 1-2 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Union Berlin 0-2 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 12, 2024 | FC Augsburg 2-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Union Berlin 1-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Berlin sit 11th in Bundesliga (39 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg?
- The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg.
- Where and when is Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg played?
- Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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