Match

Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union BerlinFC Augsburg

The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,031) and FC Augsburg (2,070).

Union Berlin win46 %
Draw22 %
FC Augsburg win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Augsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)4-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Ipswich(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026Aris(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026Cagliari(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Berlin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Augsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Union Berlin 4-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Jan 15, 2026FC Augsburg 1-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
May 17, 2025FC Augsburg 1-2 Union BerlinBundesliga
Jan 15, 2025Union Berlin 0-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Apr 12, 2024FC Augsburg 2-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Nov 25, 2023Union Berlin 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Berlin2.51.9113/1512/15
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 11th in Bundesliga (39 points from 34 matches) and FC Augsburg sit 9th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Augsburg3412715456143
11Union Berlin3410915445839

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg?
The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg played?
Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Union Berlin and FC Augsburg

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