Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Köln played?

FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Köln is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Köln?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate FC Schalke 04 (2,062) and 1. FC Köln (2,049).

FC Schalke 04 win44 %

Draw24 %

1. FC Köln win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	5-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC Schalke 04 win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 9, 2025	1. FC Köln 1-0 FC Schalke 04	2. Bundesliga
Sep 1, 2024	FC Schalke 04 1-3 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga
Jan 29, 2023	FC Schalke 04 0-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2022	1. FC Köln 3-1 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Jan 27, 2022	1. FC Köln 2-2 FC Schalke 04	Friendlies Clubs
May 22, 2021	1. FC Köln 1-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 on Feb 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 04	2.1	1.3	5	7/15	11/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Köln played?: FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Köln is played on March 3, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.