Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole played?

Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Kostinbrod

Kostinbrod

Chavdar Etropole

The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chavdar Etropole. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole?

Chavdar Etropole starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,437).

Kostinbrod win45 %

Draw26 %

Chavdar Etropole win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kostinbrod have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chavdar Etropole have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kostinbrod
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Slavia Sofia II(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Botev Ihtiman(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	3-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest
May 30, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	0-1	Third League - Southwest

Chavdar Etropole
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(home)	4-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Strumska Slava(away)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Oborishte(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Bansko(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest
Feb 17, 2024	CSKA Sofia II(away)	0-3	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Kostinbrod win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chavdar Etropole win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2023	Chavdar Etropole 5-1 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
May 13, 2023	Kostinbrod 0-1 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest
Apr 8, 2023	Chavdar Etropole 3-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Feb 26, 2022	Chavdar Etropole 1-2 Kostinbrod	Third League - Southwest
Aug 14, 2021	Kostinbrod 0-0 Chavdar Etropole	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Chavdar Etropole vs Kostinbrod on Aug 16, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Kostinbrod score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chavdar Etropole score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kostinbrod	0.9	1.3	4	5/15	6/15
Chavdar Etropole	2.2	1.1	6	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kostinbrod sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (6 points from 4 matches) and Chavdar Etropole sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Kostinbrod	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole?: The Footlab model makes Kostinbrod the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Chavdar Etropole.
Where and when is Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole played?: Kostinbrod vs Chavdar Etropole is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.