Septemvri Sofia II vs Pirin Razlog: prediction and stats
Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion German, German
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Pirin Razlog. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia II vs Pirin Razlog?
Septemvri Sofia II starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,510 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Pirin Razlog have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Belasitsa(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slavia Sofia II(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Ihtiman(away) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 29, 2026 | Levski Sofia II(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oborishte(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bansko(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Belasitsa(home) | 1-3 | Third League - Southwest |
| May 30, 2026 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Sofia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pirin Razlog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Pirin Razlog 3-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Pirin Razlog 3-0 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia II 0-5 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Pirin Razlog 2-1 Septemvri Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Septemvri Sofia II 3-0 Pirin Razlog | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia II vs Pirin Razlog on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Razlog score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Pirin Razlog | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia II sit 7th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Pirin Razlog sit 18th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Septemvri Sofia II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia II vs Pirin Razlog?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Sofia II the favourite at 78%, against 15% for a draw and 7% for Pirin Razlog.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia II vs Pirin Razlog played?
- Septemvri Sofia II vs Pirin Razlog is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion German, in the Third League - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Balkan BotevgradvsCSKA Sofia III
- Oct 10, 2026Botev IhtimanvsOborishte
- Oct 10, 2026KyustendilvsStrumska Slava
- Oct 10, 2026Septemvri SimitlivsBelasitsa
- Oct 10, 2026Slivnishki geroyvsNatsional Sofia
- Oct 10, 2026KostinbrodvsChavdar Etropole
- Oct 10, 2026Levski Sofia IIvsFK Minyor Pernik
- Oct 10, 2026Slavia Sofia IIvsBansko