Bradford vs Burnley: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)University of Bradford Stadium, Bradford, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bradford vs Burnley?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Bradford (1,861) and Burnley (1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bradford have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Burnley have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Preston(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torino(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bradford score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 1.7 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Burnley | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bradford vs Burnley?
- The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Bradford vs Burnley played?
- Bradford vs Burnley is played on August 26, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at University of Bradford Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.