Cambridge United vs Millwall: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Abbey Stadium, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire
The Footlab model makes Millwall the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Cambridge United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambridge United vs Millwall?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Cambridge United (1,877) and Millwall (1,942).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambridge United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Millwall have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cambridge United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2022 | Cambridge United 1-0 Millwall | League Cup |
| Aug 24, 2021 | Millwall 3-1 Cambridge United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Millwall on Aug 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Cambridge United score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambridge United | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Millwall | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambridge United vs Millwall?
- The Footlab model makes Millwall the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Cambridge United.
- Where and when is Cambridge United vs Millwall played?
- Cambridge United vs Millwall is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Abbey Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.