Match

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca

FC CajamarcaCusco

The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cusco. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Cusco?

Cusco starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,705 vs 1,568).

FC Cajamarca win46 %
Draw24 %
Cusco win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cusco have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Atletico Grau(home)1-3Primera División
Aug 16, 2026Universitario(home)2-3Primera División
Aug 9, 2026FBC Melgar(away)4-2Primera División
Aug 1, 2026Sport Huancayo(home)0-2Primera División
Jul 27, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(away)1-2Primera División
Cusco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(away)1-4Primera División
Aug 14, 2026Juan Pablo II College(home)2-0Primera División
Aug 7, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(away)1-3Primera División
Aug 1, 2026UTC Cajamarca(home)4-1Primera División
Jul 25, 2026Universitario(away)1-2Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Cajamarca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cusco win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 22, 2026Cusco 1-0 FC CajamarcaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Cusco vs FC Cajamarca on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Cajamarca1.51.8013/1510/15
Cusco1.51.7310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (17 points from 17 matches) and Cusco sit 6th (27 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Cusco17836212427
6Cusco17836212427
7Cusco231139343536
9Cusco42021076
9Cusco630313119
13FC Cajamarca4112784
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca611410144
17FC Cajamarca235612334221

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cusco.
Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs Cusco played?
FC Cajamarca vs Cusco is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Cajamarca and Cusco

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