FC Cajamarca vs Cusco: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cusco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
Cusco starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,705 vs 1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cusco have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitario(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FBC Melgar(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Cajamarca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cusco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Cusco 1-0 FC Cajamarca | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cusco vs FC Cajamarca on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Cusco | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (17 points from 17 matches) and Cusco sit 6th (27 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Cusco | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 9 | Cusco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 42 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
- The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Cusco.
- Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs Cusco played?
- FC Cajamarca vs Cusco is played on September 19, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Sporting CristalvsAtletico Grau
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza LimavsADT
- Sep 19, 2026FBC MelgarvsSport Boys
- Sep 19, 2026Sport HuancayovsUTC Cajamarca
- Sep 19, 2026Alianza AtleticovsComerciantes Unidos
- Sep 19, 2026CiencianovsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Sep 19, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsUniversitario
- Sep 19, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsUCV Moquegua