Coventry vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Brentford the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coventry vs Brentford?
Brentford starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (2,189 vs 2,035).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coventry have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Brentford have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Coventry win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Brentford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | Coventry 2-0 Brentford | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Brentford 2-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Brentford 3-1 Coventry | League One |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Coventry 0-2 Brentford | League One |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Coventry 1-1 Brentford | League One |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Brentford 2-1 Coventry | League One |
Last archived meeting: Coventry vs Brentford on Feb 20, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 2.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Brentford | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coventry sit 19th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Brentford sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Coventry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Brentford?
- The Footlab model makes Brentford the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Coventry.
- Where and when is Coventry vs Brentford played?
- Coventry vs Brentford is played on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at The Coventry Building Society Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.