Coventry vs Brentford: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brentford wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coventry vs Brentford?
Brentford starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,241 vs 2,069).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coventry vs Brentford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coventry
4-2-3-1- 49S. Cherif
- 6M. Grimes
- 5J. Rudoni
- 10E. Mason-Clark
- 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 23B. Thomas-Asante
- 4B. Thomas
- 3J. Dasilva
- 2E. Pinnock
- 27M. van Ewijk
- 19C. Rushworth
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 27V. Janelt
- 7K. Schade
- 19J. Anthony
- 6Y. Yarmolyuk
- 20K. Ajer
- 33M. Kayode
- 44Jannik Schuster
- 25E. Diouf
- 1C. Kelleher
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coventry have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Brentford have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Coventry win, 1 draw, 4 Brentford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | Coventry 2-0 Brentford | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Brentford 2-0 Coventry | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Brentford 3-1 Coventry | League One |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Coventry 0-2 Brentford | League One |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Coventry 1-1 Brentford | League One |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Brentford 2-1 Coventry | League One |
Last archived meeting: Coventry vs Brentford on Feb 20, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Coventry score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coventry sit 14th in Premier League (6 points from 6 matches) and Brentford sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Coventry vs Brentford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coventry vs Brentford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Coventry.
- Where and when is Coventry vs Brentford played?
- Coventry vs Brentford is played on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at The Coventry Building Society Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.