Where and when is Elgin City vs Dundee II played?

Elgin City vs Dundee II is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elgin City vs Dundee II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Borough Briggs, Elgin

Elgin City

Dundee II

The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Dundee II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elgin City vs Dundee II?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Elgin City (1,567) and Dundee II (1,527).

Elgin City win58 %

Draw20 %

Dundee II win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elgin City have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dundee II have 2, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elgin City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Spartans(away)	3-3	League Two
Aug 15, 2026	Kelty Hearts(home)	4-1	League Two
Aug 11, 2026	Ross County(home)	1-2	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Forfar Athletic(home)	1-1	League Two
Aug 1, 2026	Edinburgh City(away)	5-0	League Two

Dundee II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 11, 2026	Formartine United(away)	1-4	Challenge Cup
Jul 2, 2026	Peterhead(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 11, 2025	Elgin City(away)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025	Stirling Albion(away)	0-2	Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025	Inverness CT(away)	0-6	Challenge Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Elgin City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dundee II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 11, 2025	Elgin City 3-1 Dundee II	Challenge Cup

Last archived meeting: Elgin City vs Dundee II on Nov 11, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Elgin City score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee II score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elgin City	1.9	1.7	2	10/15	10/15
Dundee II	1.0	2.3	4	6/13	8/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elgin City vs Dundee II?: The Footlab model makes Elgin City the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Dundee II.
Where and when is Elgin City vs Dundee II played?: Elgin City vs Dundee II is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Borough Briggs, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.