Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol played?

Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on December 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Kashiwa Reysol

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kashiwa Reysol. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,022) and Kashiwa Reysol (2,024).

Gamba Osaka win44 %

Draw25 %

Kashiwa Reysol win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Kashiwa Reysol have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Red Bull Salzburg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gamba Osaka win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kashiwa Reysol win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 18, 2025	Gamba Osaka 0-5 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Apr 6, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 11, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Jun 16, 2024	Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jul 16, 2023	Gamba Osaka 3-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Feb 18, 2023	Kashiwa Reysol 2-2 Gamba Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol on Oct 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.7	1.3	4	9/15	8/15
Kashiwa Reysol	1.5	1.2	3	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Kashiwa Reysol.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol played?: Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol is played on December 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.