Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas played?

Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota

Fortaleza FC

Once Caldas

The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas?

Once Caldas starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,687).

Fortaleza FC win33 %

Draw29 %

Once Caldas win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Once Caldas have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A
May 29, 2026	Cucuta(away)	0-0	Copa Colombia

Once Caldas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 9, 2026	Jaguares(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 3, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	2-2	Primera A
Jul 30, 2026	Envigado(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia
Jul 27, 2026	Cucuta(home)	5-1	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fortaleza FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Once Caldas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Once Caldas 4-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Jul 20, 2025	Fortaleza FC 2-1 Once Caldas	Primera A
Feb 1, 2025	Once Caldas 2-1 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Nov 2, 2024	Once Caldas 0-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Apr 26, 2024	Once Caldas 0-1 Fortaleza FC	Copa Colombia
Apr 13, 2024	Fortaleza FC 2-0 Once Caldas	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15
Once Caldas	1.6	1.1	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortaleza FC sit 15th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Once Caldas sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	33
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	34
9	Once Caldas	4	1	2	1	8	5	5
11	Fortaleza FC	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas?: The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas played?: Fortaleza FC vs Once Caldas is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Cota, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.