Match

Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh

FraserburghCove Rangers

The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Cove Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Fraserburgh (1,664) and Cove Rangers (1,585).

Fraserburgh win63 %
Draw19 %
Cove Rangers win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Cove Rangers have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fraserburgh
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lossiemouth(away)4-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Inverurie Loco Works(away)1-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Nairn County(home)2-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 11, 2026Montrose(away)0-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Forres Mechanics(away)2-0Football League - Highland League
Cove Rangers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Peterhead(home)3-0League One
Aug 15, 2026East Kilbride(away)0-3League One
Aug 11, 2026Stirling Albion(away)2-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026East Fife(away)0-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Airdrie United(home)0-0League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fraserburgh win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cove Rangers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 8, 2023Cove Rangers 1-0 FraserburghFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Cove Rangers vs Fraserburgh on Jul 8, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cove Rangers score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fraserburgh2.50.6104/157/15
Cove Rangers1.22.336/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers?
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Cove Rangers.
Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers played?
Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fraserburgh and Cove Rangers

Ready to know everything about football?