Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Cove Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Fraserburgh (1,664) and Cove Rangers (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Cove Rangers have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fraserburgh win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cove Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cove Rangers 1-0 Fraserburgh | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Cove Rangers vs Fraserburgh on Jul 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cove Rangers score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Cove Rangers | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Cove Rangers.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers played?
- Fraserburgh vs Cove Rangers is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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