Match

Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Spartans: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Netherdale Football Ground, Galashiels

Gala Fairydean RoversSpartans

The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Gala Fairydean Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Spartans?

Spartans starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,587 vs 1,414).

Gala Fairydean Rovers win35 %
Draw23 %
Spartans win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gala Fairydean Rovers have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Spartans have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gala Fairydean Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Stranraer(away)0-3Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home)3-4Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Rangers U21(home)0-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Linlithgow Rose(away)0-5Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Bo'ness United(home)1-3Football League - Lowland League
Spartans
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Hearts U21(home)5-0Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026Elgin City(home)3-3League Two
Aug 15, 2026Stranraer(away)0-1League Two
Aug 11, 2026East Fife(away)2-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Edinburgh City(home)2-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gala Fairydean Rovers win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Spartans win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 23, 2022Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-3 SpartansFootball League - Lowland League
Aug 6, 2022Spartans 4-1 Gala Fairydean RoversFootball League - Lowland League
Apr 26, 2022Spartans 2-1 Gala Fairydean RoversFootball League - Lowland League
Sep 18, 2021Spartans 0-1 Gala Fairydean RoversFA Cup
Jul 27, 2021Gala Fairydean Rovers 0-4 SpartansFootball League - Lowland League
Oct 27, 2020Gala Fairydean Rovers 3-1 SpartansFootball League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Spartans on Dec 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Gala Fairydean Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spartans score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gala Fairydean Rovers1.71.765/1510/15
Spartans1.71.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Spartans?
The Footlab model makes Spartans the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Gala Fairydean Rovers.
Where and when is Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Spartans played?
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Spartans is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Netherdale Football Ground, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gala Fairydean Rovers and Spartans

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