Match

FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC TokyoSanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Tokyo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate FC Tokyo (2,110) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,154).

37%27%36%
FC Tokyo winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Tokyo

4-4-2
  1. 26M. Nagakura
  2. 9Marcelo Ryan
  1. 8T. Ko
  2. 7S. Anzai
  3. 27Kyota Tokiwa
  4. 10K. Sato
  1. 24A. Scholz
  2. 4H. Inamura
  3. 6K. Bangnagande
  4. 22H. Ishihara
  1. 81Kim Seung-Gyu

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 18D. Suga
  4. 35Y. Nakajima
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 11M. Kato
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)6-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)4-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)0-1J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Urawa(home)3-0J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Tokyo win, 1 draw, 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026FC Tokyo 4-3 Sanfrecce HiroshimaFriendlies Clubs
Oct 17, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
May 25, 2025FC Tokyo 0-3 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Aug 31, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 FC TokyoJ1 League
Jun 9, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 FC TokyoJ-League Cup
Jun 5, 2024FC Tokyo 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 2.5 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo2.50.3122/157/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.50.795/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 2nd in J1 League (27 points from 12 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd (26 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Tokyo1283127827
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima12822291026

A question about FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
FC Tokyo vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on November 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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