Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath played?

Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath is played on September 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton

Hamilton Academical

Cowdenbeath

The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Cowdenbeath. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?

Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,675 vs 1,451).

Hamilton Academical win74 %

Draw15 %

Cowdenbeath win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cowdenbeath have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hamilton Academical
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Edinburgh City(home)	0-1	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	East Fife(away)	0-0	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Airdrie United(home)	4-0	League One
Aug 12, 2026	Celtic II(home)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Alloa Athletic(home)	1-0	League One

Cowdenbeath
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	East Kilbride(home)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Stirling University(home)	4-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026	Edinburgh City(away)	1-3	Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Broxburn Athletic(home)	0-2	Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026	Civil Service Strollers(away)	2-3	Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hamilton Academical win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cowdenbeath win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2014	Cowdenbeath 1-1 Hamilton Academical	Championship
Jan 25, 2014	Hamilton Academical 3-4 Cowdenbeath	Championship
Nov 16, 2013	Cowdenbeath 2-4 Hamilton Academical	Championship
Sep 21, 2013	Hamilton Academical 1-0 Cowdenbeath	Championship
May 4, 2013	Hamilton Academical 1-3 Cowdenbeath	Championship
Mar 9, 2013	Cowdenbeath 1-1 Hamilton Academical	Championship

Last archived meeting: Cowdenbeath vs Hamilton Academical on Mar 29, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

Hamilton Academical score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cowdenbeath score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hamilton Academical	2.1	0.8	7	6/15	8/15
Cowdenbeath	1.3	1.9	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath?: The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Cowdenbeath.
Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath played?: Hamilton Academical vs Cowdenbeath is played on September 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.