JEF United Chiba vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Urawa?
Urawa starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 1-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yamanashi Gakuin(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 JEF United Chiba win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Urawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Urawa 2-0 JEF United Chiba | J1 League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | JEF United Chiba 0-2 Urawa | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Urawa vs JEF United Chiba on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Urawa | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Urawa?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Urawa played?
- JEF United Chiba vs Urawa is played on March 14, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsFagiano Okayama
- Mar 13, 2027Vissel KobevsShimizu S-pulse
- Mar 13, 2027KashimavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Mar 13, 2027FC TokyovsCerezo Osaka
- Mar 13, 2027Gamba OsakavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Mar 13, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsAvispa Fukuoka
- Mar 13, 2027Kyoto SangavsKawasaki Frontale
- Mar 13, 2027Machida ZelviavsNagoya Grampus