Where and when is Urawa vs JEF United Chiba played?

Urawa vs JEF United Chiba is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Urawa vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Urawa

JEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs JEF United Chiba?

Urawa starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,813).

Urawa win51 %

Draw25 %

JEF United Chiba win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Machida Zelvia(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)	1-4	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Gamba Osaka(away)	3-4	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Omiya Ardija(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026	FC Ryukyu(away)	4-5	Friendlies Clubs

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	1-2	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Urawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 JEF United Chiba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Urawa 2-0 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Feb 7, 2026	JEF United Chiba 0-2 Urawa	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs JEF United Chiba on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Urawa	1.5	1.8	4	8/15	7/15
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
19	Urawa	3	0	0	3	5	11	0
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs JEF United Chiba?: The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Urawa vs JEF United Chiba played?: Urawa vs JEF United Chiba is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.