Match

Santa Fe vs Jaguares: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Santa FeJaguares

The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Jaguares. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Jaguares?

Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,634).

Santa Fe win67 %
Draw22 %
Jaguares win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Fe have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Jaguares have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Santa Fe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026America de Cali(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 20, 2026River Plate(home)0-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026Chico(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Union Magdalena(home)2-0Copa Colombia
Aug 3, 2026Once Caldas(home)2-2Primera A
Jaguares
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chico(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Internacional de Bogota(away)0-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)0-3Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Deportivo Cali(away)0-2Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santa Fe win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Jaguares win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2026Jaguares 3-1 Santa FePrimera A
Nov 15, 2024Santa Fe 3-0 JaguaresPrimera A
Apr 28, 2024Jaguares 1-0 Santa FePrimera A
Jul 20, 2023Santa Fe 1-0 JaguaresPrimera A
Jan 27, 2023Jaguares 2-2 Santa FePrimera A
Oct 17, 2022Jaguares 2-1 Santa FePrimera A

Last archived meeting: Jaguares vs Santa Fe on Feb 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Santa Fe1.50.596/155/15
Jaguares1.01.356/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Santa Fe sit 7th in Primera A (29 points from 19 matches) and Jaguares sit 16th (18 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Santa Fe238114352435
7Santa Fe19784292229
11Santa Fe4121545
15Jaguares5113274
16Jaguares195311203318
16Jaguares195311203318

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Santa Fe vs Jaguares?
The Footlab model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Jaguares.
Where and when is Santa Fe vs Jaguares played?
Santa Fe vs Jaguares is played on August 26, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Santa Fe and Jaguares

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