Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (1,959) and Vissel Kobe (2,042).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale | Super Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe on Jun 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsMachida Zelvia
- Oct 21, 2026V-varen NagasakivsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Oct 21, 2026UrawavsJEF United Chiba
- Oct 21, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsCerezo Osaka
- Oct 21, 2026FC TokyovsKashiwa Reysol
- Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsTokyo Verdy
- Oct 21, 2026Kyoto SangavsKashima
- Oct 21, 2026Fagiano OkayamavsMito Hollyhock