Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga played?

Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

Kyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Tokyo Verdy (1,872) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).

Tokyo Verdy win35 %

Draw27 %

Kyoto Sanga win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
May 25, 2025	Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Dec 8, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Mar 29, 2024	Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Sep 7, 2022	Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Tokyo Verdy	Emperor Cup
Aug 28, 2021	Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Tokyo Verdy on Aug 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga?: The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga played?: Tokyo Verdy vs Kyoto Sanga is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.