Match

Malta U21 vs Germany U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 21Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta'Qali

Malta U21Germany U21

The Footlab model makes Germany U21 the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Malta U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malta U21 vs Germany U21?

Germany U21 is a heavy favourite: 1,757 Elo points against 1,223, a 534-point gap.

Malta U21 win12 %
Draw17 %
Germany U21 win72 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malta U21 have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Germany U21 have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malta U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 4, 2026Moldova U21(away)0-3Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026Georgia U21(away)1-4UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Greece U21(away)0-5UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Latvia U21(home)0-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Germany U21(away)0-6UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Germany U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Greece U21(away)2-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Northern Ireland U21(home)3-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Georgia U21(away)2-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Malta U21(home)6-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025Northern Ireland U21(away)2-1UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Malta U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Germany U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2025Germany U21 6-0 Malta U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Germany U21 vs Malta U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Malta U21 score 0.3 and concede 3.8 goals per match over their last 15; Germany U21 score 2.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malta U210.33.805/1512/15
Germany U212.91.087/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malta U21 sit 6th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (0 points from 7 matches) and Germany U21 sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Germany U21760122418
6Malta U2170071280

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malta U21 vs Germany U21?
The Footlab model makes Germany U21 the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Malta U21.
Where and when is Malta U21 vs Germany U21 played?
Malta U21 vs Germany U21 is played on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ta'Qali National Stadium, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Malta U21 and Germany U21

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