Malta U21 vs Germany U21: prediction and stats
UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 21Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab model makes Germany U21 the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Malta U21. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malta U21 vs Germany U21?
Germany U21 is a heavy favourite: 1,757 Elo points against 1,223, a 534-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malta U21 have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Germany U21 have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Moldova U21(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Georgia U21(away) | 1-4 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Greece U21(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Latvia U21(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Germany U21(away) | 0-6 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Greece U21(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Northern Ireland U21(home) | 3-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Georgia U21(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Malta U21(home) | 6-0 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Northern Ireland U21(away) | 2-1 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Malta U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Germany U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | Germany U21 6-0 Malta U21 | UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Germany U21 vs Malta U21 on Nov 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Malta U21 score 0.3 and concede 3.8 goals per match over their last 15; Germany U21 score 2.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malta U21 | 0.3 | 3.8 | 0 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Germany U21 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malta U21 sit 6th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (0 points from 7 matches) and Germany U21 sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Malta U21 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 28 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malta U21 vs Germany U21?
- The Footlab model makes Germany U21 the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Malta U21.
- Where and when is Malta U21 vs Germany U21 played?
- Malta U21 vs Germany U21 is played on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ta'Qali National Stadium, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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