Match

Kosovo U21 vs Cyprus U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 21Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Kosovo U21Cyprus U21

The Footlab model makes Kosovo U21 the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Cyprus U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kosovo U21 vs Cyprus U21?

Kosovo U21 starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,371).

Kosovo U21 win57 %
Draw23 %
Cyprus U21 win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kosovo U21 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cyprus U21 have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kosovo U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Albania U21(away)1-3Mediterranean Games
Aug 22, 2026Algeria U21(away)1-2Mediterranean Games
Jun 6, 2026Luxembourg U21(home)0-0Friendlies
Jun 3, 2026Turkey U21(away)0-1Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026Spain U21(away)0-2UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Cyprus U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 5, 2026Montenegro U21(away)1-1Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026Finland U21(away)0-3UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026Spain U21(home)0-7UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025San Marino U21(away)5-0UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025Kosovo U21(home)0-4UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Kosovo U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Cyprus U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2025Cyprus U21 0-4 Kosovo U21UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Cyprus U21 vs Kosovo U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kosovo U21 score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cyprus U21 score 0.9 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kosovo U211.11.374/157/15
Cyprus U210.93.315/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kosovo U21 sit 4th in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (8 points from 7 matches) and Cyprus U21 sit 5th (3 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kosovo U2172231268
5Cyprus U2171065243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kosovo U21 vs Cyprus U21?
The Footlab model makes Kosovo U21 the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Cyprus U21.
Where and when is Kosovo U21 vs Cyprus U21 played?
Kosovo U21 vs Cyprus U21 is played on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kosovo U21 and Cyprus U21

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