Where and when is Romania U21 vs Finland U21 played?

Romania U21 vs Finland U21 is played on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Romania U21 vs Finland U21: prediction and stats

UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 21Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Naţională, Bucureşti

Romania U21

Finland U21

The Footlab model makes Romania U21 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Finland U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Romania U21 vs Finland U21?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Romania U21 (1,562) and Finland U21 (1,611).

Romania U21 win40 %

Draw25 %

Finland U21 win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Romania U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Finland U21 have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Romania U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	San Marino U21(home)	3-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Kosovo U21(away)	1-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Spain U21(home)	0-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 14, 2025	Finland U21(away)	0-2	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Cyprus U21(home)	2-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

Finland U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 8, 2026	Norway U21(away)	2-0	Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026	Sweden U21(away)	3-1	Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026	Cyprus U21(home)	3-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Mar 26, 2026	San Marino U21(away)	8-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025	Kosovo U21(home)	0-0	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Romania U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Finland U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 14, 2025	Finland U21 2-0 Romania U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Sep 10, 2024	Finland U21 2-0 Romania U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Oct 17, 2023	Romania U21 1-0 Finland U21	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
Sep 4, 2020	Finland U21 1-3 Romania U21	UEFA U21 Championship
Nov 14, 2019	Romania U21 4-1 Finland U21	UEFA U21 Championship

Last archived meeting: Finland U21 vs Romania U21 on Nov 14, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Romania U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Finland U21 score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Romania U21	1.3	1.0	6	4/15	5/15
Finland U21	2.9	0.9	7	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Romania U21 sit 3rd in UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (13 points from 7 matches) and Finland U21 sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Finland U21	7	5	1	1	26	2	16
3	Romania U21	7	4	1	2	8	4	13

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Romania U21 vs Finland U21?: The Footlab model makes Romania U21 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Finland U21.
Where and when is Romania U21 vs Finland U21 played?: Romania U21 vs Finland U21 is played on September 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Naţională, in the UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.