Where and when is Millonarios vs Once Caldas played?

Millonarios vs Once Caldas is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Millonarios vs Once Caldas: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogotá, D.C.

Millonarios

Once Caldas

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Once Caldas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Millonarios vs Once Caldas?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Millonarios (1,814) and Once Caldas (1,818).

Millonarios win47 %

Draw28 %

Once Caldas win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millonarios have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Once Caldas have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Millonarios
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Águilas Doradas(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Junior(away)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 18, 2026	Colo Colo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Once Caldas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Junior(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Jaguares(away)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 6, 2026	America de Cali(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 3, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	2-2	Primera A
Jul 30, 2026	Envigado(away)	3-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Millonarios win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Once Caldas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Once Caldas 1-4 Millonarios	Primera A
Oct 30, 2025	Millonarios 0-0 Once Caldas	Primera A
Jun 12, 2025	Millonarios 2-2 Once Caldas	Primera A
Jun 9, 2025	Once Caldas 0-0 Millonarios	Primera A
May 12, 2025	Once Caldas 2-2 Millonarios	Primera A
Mar 6, 2025	Once Caldas 1-0 Millonarios	CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Last archived meeting: Once Caldas vs Millonarios on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Millonarios	1.9	1.0	5	8/15	6/15
Once Caldas	1.6	0.9	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Millonarios sit 10th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Once Caldas sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31	22	33
5	Once Caldas	21	8	10	3	33	25	34
8	Millonarios	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
9	Once Caldas	5	1	3	1	9	6	6
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31	23	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Millonarios vs Once Caldas?: The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Once Caldas.
Where and when is Millonarios vs Once Caldas played?: Millonarios vs Once Caldas is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.