Preston vs Everton: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Deepdale, Preston
The Footlab model makes Everton the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Preston. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston vs Everton?
Everton is a heavy favourite: 2,116 Elo points against 1,778 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Everton have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lille(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Preston win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Everton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2024 | Preston 0-3 Everton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Everton 2-0 Preston | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Preston score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Everton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston vs Everton?
- The Footlab model makes Everton the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Preston.
- Where and when is Preston vs Everton played?
- Preston vs Everton is played on August 26, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Deepdale, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.