San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 27Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio La Ciudadela, San Miguel de Tucumán, Provincia de Tucumán
The Footlab model makes San Martin Tucuman the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Club Atlético Güemes. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes?
San Martin Tucuman starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,786 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martin Tucuman have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Club Atlético Güemes have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 San Martin Tucuman win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Club Atlético Güemes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes 0-2 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Club Atlético Güemes 2-1 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 2, 2025 | San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 27, 2024 | San Martin Tucuman 2-2 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Club Atlético Güemes 0-0 San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 23, 2023 | San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Club Atlético Güemes vs San Martin Tucuman on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martin Tucuman score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Club Atlético Güemes score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin Tucuman | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martin Tucuman sit 9th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th (22 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Martin Tucuman | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 35 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes?
- The Footlab model makes San Martin Tucuman the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Club Atlético Güemes.
- Where and when is San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes played?
- San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Ciudadela, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Gimnasia Y TirovsChacarita Juniors
- Aug 29, 2026ColegialesvsDeportivo Maipu
- Aug 29, 2026MidlandvsNueva Chicago
- Aug 29, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsTristan Suarez
- Aug 29, 2026Ciudad de BolívarvsDefensores De Belgrano
- Aug 30, 2026Almirante BrownvsDeportivo Madryn
- Aug 30, 2026Atletico MitrevsCentral Norte
- Aug 30, 2026PatronatovsAlmagro