Union Brescia vs Renate: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Renate. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Brescia vs Renate?
Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,677).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Brescia vs Renate
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Brescia
3-4-2-1- 9V. Crespi
- 25A. Rizzo Pinna
- 6A. Mercati
- 8D. Balestrero
- 20M. Zennaro
- 14A. Mallamo
- 27A. Lamesta
- 28L. Silvestri
- 15T. Casasola
- 24B. Boci
- 43G. Zacchi
Renate
4-3-3- 92N. Anelli
- 47L. Kerrigan
- 7J. Italeng
- 11A. Delcarro
- 25F. Vassallo
- 14M. Calì
- 5S. Auriletto
- 13A. Moțoc
- 21C. Riviera
- 29T. Botrini
- 30M. Avella
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Renate have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Brescia win, 0 draws, 1 Renate win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Union Brescia 1-2 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Renate 1-3 Union Brescia | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Union Brescia vs Renate on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Brescia score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Brescia | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Renate | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Brescia sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (19 points from 9 matches) and Renate sit 20th (4 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Union Brescia vs Renate?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Renate?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Renate.
- Where and when is Union Brescia vs Renate played?
- Union Brescia vs Renate is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.