Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for DC United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United?
Vancouver Whitecaps is a heavy favourite: 1,957 Elo points against 1,653 — a 304-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; DC United have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 5-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 DC United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 DC United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 15, 2018 | DC United 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
| May 27, 2017 | Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 9, 2016 | DC United 4-0 Vancouver Whitecaps | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United on Oct 1, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| DC United | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st in Major League Soccer (40 points from 20 matches) and DC United sit 11th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 11 | DC United | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United?
- The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for DC United.
- Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United played?
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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