Match

Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia

Vancouver WhitecapsDC United

The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for DC United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United?

Vancouver Whitecaps is a heavy favourite: 1,957 Elo points against 1,653 — a 304-point gap.

Vancouver Whitecaps win75 %
Draw16 %
DC United win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver Whitecaps have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; DC United have 3, 9 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vancouver Whitecaps
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC Dallas(home)5-0Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Tigres UANL(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026FC Juarez(home)1-3Leagues Cup
DC United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026New England Revolution(home)0-3Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026Nashville SC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Toronto FC(home)2-1Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vancouver Whitecaps win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 DC United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Feb 1, 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 DC UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Aug 18, 2019Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Jul 15, 2018DC United 3-1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
May 27, 2017Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Apr 9, 2016DC United 4-0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United on Oct 1, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vancouver Whitecaps1.51.539/156/15
DC United1.71.9212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vancouver Whitecaps sit 1st in Major League Soccer (40 points from 20 matches) and DC United sit 11th (24 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps201244451840
11DC United21597283624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United?
The Footlab model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for DC United.
Where and when is Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United played?
Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC United is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BC Place, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Vancouver Whitecaps and DC United

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