Virtus vs Murata: prediction and stats
Coppa TitanoRound of 16Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, Acquaviva
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 90%, against 8% for a draw and 2% for Murata. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,146 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus vs Murata?
Virtus is a heavy favourite: 1,506 Elo points against 912, a 594-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus vs Murata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus
4-3-3- 90S. Scappini
- 11T. Lombardi
- 93G. Piscitella
- 17A. Golinucci
- 10I. Buonocunto
- 21A. Amati
- 15N. Gori
- 34U. De Lucia
- 30Mirco De Santis
- 45E. Ciacci
- 39A. Passaniti
Murata
Not enough data to predict the Murata lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Murata have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 5-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Libertas(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Murata(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | La Fiorita(away) | 0-3 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cosmos(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | San Giovanni(home) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Virtus(home) | 0-3 | Coppa Titano |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 4-1 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Virtus wins, 0 draws, 0 Murata wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Murata 0-3 Virtus | Coppa Titano |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus 4-1 Murata | Campionato |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Murata 0-2 Virtus | Campionato |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Murata 0-1 Virtus | Campionato |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Virtus 2-1 Murata | Campionato |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Murata 0-1 Virtus | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Murata score 0.6 and concede 3.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus | 2.2 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Murata | 0.6 | 3.2 | 0 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Virtus vs Murata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus vs Murata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 90%, against 8% for a draw and 2% for Murata.
- Where and when is Virtus vs Murata played?
- Virtus vs Murata is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva, in the Coppa Titano.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.