Where and when is Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste played?

Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, Salta, Provincia de Salta

Central Norte

Ferro Carril Oeste

The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Ferro Carril Oeste starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,700).

Central Norte win29 %

Draw30 %

Ferro Carril Oeste win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Norte have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ferro Carril Oeste have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Central Norte
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	CA Estudiantes(home)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026	Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)	0-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 10, 2026	All Boys(away)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Los Andes(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Godoy Cruz(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional

Ferro Carril Oeste
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	All Boys(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Atlanta(home)	3-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Los Andes(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026	Godoy Cruz(home)	1-3	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Deportivo Moron(away)	0-4	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Central Norte win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Central Norte	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Central Norte	0.9	1.2	4	9/15	6/15
Ferro Carril Oeste	1.4	0.9	7	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Central Norte sit 13th in Primera Nacional (27 points from 25 matches) and Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st (52 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	26	16	4	6	32	23	52
13	Central Norte	25	6	9	10	17	25	27

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?: The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Central Norte.
Where and when is Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste played?: Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Luis Güemes, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.