Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dordrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Dordrecht (1,630) and VVV Venlo (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 1Y. van Osch
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 9M. Tsigkas
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 5Lars de Blok
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dordrecht have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; VVV Venlo have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dordrecht wins, 0 draws, 2 VVV Venlo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | VVV Venlo 3-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Dordrecht 2-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Dordrecht 4-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | VVV Venlo 2-3 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Dordrecht 1-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 8, 2023 | VVV Venlo 3-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: VVV Venlo vs Dordrecht on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dordrecht sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 18 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 8 |
A question about Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo played?
- Dordrecht vs VVV Venlo is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at M-Scores Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.