Folgore vs Libertas: prediction and stats
Coppa TitanoRound of 16Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Falciano, Falciano
The Footlab AI model makes Folgore the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Libertas. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,560 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore vs Libertas?
Folgore starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,290 vs 1,047).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folgore vs Libertas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folgore
Not enough data to predict the Folgore lineup.
Libertas
Not enough data to predict the Libertas lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Libertas have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Libertas(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 5-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 2-0 | Campionato |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Libertas(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 1-2 | Campionato |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cailungo(away) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 1-1 | Campionato |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Virtus(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Folgore(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Titano |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Folgore wins, 0 draws, 0 Libertas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Libertas 1-2 Folgore | Campionato |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Libertas 0-2 Folgore | Coppa Titano |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Libertas 2-4 Folgore | Campionato |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Folgore 6-1 Libertas | Campionato |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Folgore 3-0 Libertas | Campionato |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Libertas 0-1 Folgore | Campionato |
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Libertas score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore | 2.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Libertas | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Folgore vs Libertas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore vs Libertas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folgore the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Libertas.
- Where and when is Folgore vs Libertas played?
- Folgore vs Libertas is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Falciano, in the Coppa Titano.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.