Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulseKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (2,166 vs 1,949).

23%25%52%
Shimizu S-pulse winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Shimizu S-pulse

4-3-3
  1. 7Capixaba
  2. 13R. Germain
  3. 9Oh Se-Hun
  1. 17M. Yumiba
  2. 47Y. Shimamoto
  3. 21K. Matsuzaki
  1. 24H. Sugai
  2. 25Mateus Brunetti
  3. 4S. Hasukawa
  4. 15Y. Honda
  1. 16T. Umeda

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 07:07 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kashima have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-5J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-2J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)2-1J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shimizu S-pulse wins, 1 draw, 5 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 31, 2025Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
May 17, 2025Kashima 1-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Oct 29, 2022Shimizu S-pulse 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 2, 2022Kashima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Aug 25, 2021Shimizu S-pulse 0-4 KashimaJ1 League
Jun 6, 2021Kashima 2-1 Shimizu S-pulseJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima on Aug 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse1.11.628/159/15
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shimizu S-pulse sit 13th in J1 League (14 points from 12 matches) and Kashima sit 8th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kashima12624252120
13Shimizu S-pulse12426102014

A question about Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima played?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashima is played on March 21, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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