Mérida AD vs Extremadura 1924: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida
The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Extremadura 1924. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mérida AD wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mérida AD vs Extremadura 1924?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Mérida AD (1,914) and Extremadura 1924 (2,000).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mérida AD vs Extremadura 1924
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mérida AD
4-3-3- 21Raúl Beneit
- 11S. El Ftouhi
- 24L. Koné
- 6Jota
- 8Martín Solar
- 7J. Areso
- 4Gonzalez Nacho
- 5Hugo Sanz
- 14Hugo
- 2Alejandro Agustín
- 1A. Csenterics
Extremadura 1924
4-4-2- 10Kike
- 9Rodri
- 6Yael Ballesteros
- 23Dieguito
- 16L. Lečić
- 24L. Morcillo
- 21A. Macias
- 2Z. Tassounte
- 5S. Molina
- 14Diego Espejo
- 1D. Robador
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Extremadura 1924 have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 4-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-5 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mérida AD score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Extremadura 1924 score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida AD | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Extremadura 1924 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mérida AD sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 8 matches) and Extremadura 1924 sit 14th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mérida AD | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | Extremadura 1924 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Mérida AD vs Extremadura 1924?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mérida AD vs Extremadura 1924?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mérida AD the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Extremadura 1924.
- Where and when is Mérida AD vs Extremadura 1924 played?
- Mérida AD vs Extremadura 1924 is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Romano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.