Plymouth vs Coventry: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab model makes Coventry the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Plymouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Coventry?
Coventry starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Coventry have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Plymouth win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Coventry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Plymouth 3-1 Coventry | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Coventry 4-0 Plymouth | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Plymouth 2-2 Coventry | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Coventry 1-0 Plymouth | Championship |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Plymouth 2-1 Coventry | League One |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Coventry 1-0 Plymouth | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Coventry score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Coventry | 2.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Coventry?
- The Footlab model makes Coventry the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Plymouth.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Coventry played?
- Plymouth vs Coventry is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.