Sunderland vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,176 vs 2,060).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Hull City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 9B. Brobbey
- 34G. Xhaka
- 27N. Sadiki
- 28E. Le Fée
- 10N. Angulo
- 11C. Rigg
- 20N. Mukiele
- 32T. Hume
- 17Reinildo
- 13L. O'Nien
- 22R. Roefs
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 10M. Belloumi
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 22L. Herrington
- 3R. Giles
- 19K. Tzolakis
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hull City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sunderland wins, 1 draw, 2 Hull City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland 1-0 Hull City | League Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sunderland 0-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Hull City 0-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Sunderland 0-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Hull City 0-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Sunderland 4-4 Hull City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Hull City on Sep 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 20th in Premier League (5 points from 8 matches) and Hull City sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Sunderland vs Hull City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Hull City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Hull City played?
- Sunderland vs Hull City is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.