Tottenham vs Charlton: prediction and stats
League CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Tottenham the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Charlton. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tottenham vs Charlton?
Tottenham starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (2,121 vs 1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tottenham have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Charlton have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Derby(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Tottenham score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Charlton | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Charlton?
- The Footlab model makes Tottenham the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Tottenham vs Charlton played?
- Tottenham vs Charlton is played on August 26, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.