Where and when is Inter Miami vs San Diego played?

Inter Miami vs San Diego is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Inter Miami vs San Diego: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, Florida

Inter Miami

San Diego

The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for San Diego. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Inter Miami vs San Diego?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,831).

Inter Miami win60 %

Draw19 %

San Diego win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter Miami have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; San Diego have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Inter Miami
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Nashville SC(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Leon(home)	2-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Monterrey(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	4-2	Leagues Cup

San Diego
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Portland Timbers(away)	1-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	1-0	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Puebla(home)	3-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026	Club Tijuana(home)	1-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Club America(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Inter Miami score 2.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Diego score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Inter Miami	2.6	2.1	3	12/15	11/15
San Diego	1.5	1.5	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Inter Miami sit 2nd in Major League Soccer (39 points from 20 matches) and San Diego sit 13th (24 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Inter Miami	20	11	6	3	48	38	39
13	San Diego	20	6	6	8	34	32	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Inter Miami vs San Diego?: The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for San Diego.
Where and when is Inter Miami vs San Diego played?: Inter Miami vs San Diego is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Chase Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.